Global climate models are applied in coming up with the seasonal forecast. These models are projecting weak La Nina conditions for the 2024/2025 rainfall season. La Nina is characterized by the unusual cooling of waters in the Eastern-Central Equatorial Pacific Ocean and typically leads to wetter conditions over Southern Africa, including southern Malawi reducing progressively to the North. Seasons that are analogous to the upcoming 2024/2025 season out of which the La Nina conditions prevailed include: 1995-1996, 1998-1999, 2010-2011, 2016-2017.
The 2024-2025 Seasonal Climate Outlook
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