ENSO is predicted to be in a dominantly neutral state during the larger part of the monitoring

period. The progression of ENSO during the year enabled the identification of the past seasons that could be considered as analogous to the coming 2025/2026 rainfall season. These seasons are 1996/1997, 2013/2014, 2016/2017 and 2024/2025. Further analysis of characteristics of rainfall during these seasons have also provided valuable information that can be used to plan preparedness and response capacity during this coming season.

The produced climate outlook is presented in subsequent sections of this booklet, at sub-seasonal scale as well as on monthly scale. The expected sector specific implications of the outlook, together with recommendations are also presented to assist the better understanding and utilization of the forecast