Malawi Releases 2025/2026 Seasonal Rainfall Forecast

Liwonde, Machinga, 12 September 2025
The Ministry of Natural Resources and Climate Change, through the Department of Climate Change and Meteorological Services (DCCMS), has released the 2025/2026 Seasonal Rainfall Forecast at Hippo Lodge in Liwonde, Machinga.

The 2025/2026 Seasonal Rainfall Forecast.

According to the forecast, Malawi is expected to receive generally normal to above-normal rainfall during the October to December 2025 and January to March 2026 periods. However, some northern areas in the early part of the season, and districts such as Mchinji, Dowa, Kasungu and Lilongwe later in the season, are projected to experience normal to below-normal rainfall.

However, there is a possibility of delayed starts and false onsets. The season is also expected to be characterised by unusually high temperatures, particularly in December and February. This raises the risk of heatwaves, crop moisture stress and pest outbreaks. February is forecast to bring a high likelihood of nationwide dry spells, while occasional heavy downpours may lead to soil erosion, localised flooding and damage to infrastructure.

Dr Yusuf Mkungula, the Principal Secretary, presenting the forecast.

Despite these challenges, the projected rainfall is considered adequate to support crop production and maintain Lake Malawi water levels, which are crucial for domestic use, irrigation, hydropower generation and fisheries.

The DCCMS has urged all sectors, including agriculture, health, disaster management, water, energy and transport, to use the forecast for proactive planning and preparedness. Communities are also being advised to remain alert to seasonal updates, short-term forecasts and weather advisories that will be issued throughout the season.

Dr Lucy Mtilatila, the Director of DCCMS, during the release of the forecast.

“Do not let the upcoming rainfall season catch you unprepared. Your safety is our top priority – let us prepare together,” the department stressed.

Part of the audience.